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2023 Outlook

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02Mid-Year 2023 Outlook Heatmaps

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05Videos

Credit Outlook 2023 - Weakening Macro Environment Puts EMEA Corporates’ Credit Profiles at Risk

Credit Outlook 2023 - Weakening Macro Environment Puts EMEA Corporates’ Credit Profiles at Risk

Credit Outlook 2023 - U.S. Life Plan Communities ’ 2023 Sector Outlook Revised to ‘Deteriorating’

Credit Outlook 2023 - Middle East Banks’ Neutral Outlook Reflects Solid Economic Conditions

Credit Outlook 2023 - Deteriorating Outlook for EMEA Retail in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Encircling Macro Headwinds Drive Deteriorating LatAm Corporate Outlook

Credit Outlook 2023 - More Operating Woes Await U.S. Colleges & Universities in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Western European Banking Sector Outlooks Mixed for 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - 2023 Global Economic Outlook

Credit Outlook 2023 - Heightened Political Risks: What to Watch

Credit Outlook 2023 - North America Energy (Oil & Gas) Outlook in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Global Mining Sector Outlook Weakens on Reduced Profits, Cashflow

Credit Outlook 2023 - Recessionary Fallout Muted for U.S. Transportation Infrastructure in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Prices to Aid APAC Oil & Gas’s Stable Credit Metrics; Downstream Recovery

Credit Outlook 2023 - North American SF Asset Performance Outlook Revised to Deteriorating

Credit Outlook 2023 - US Leveraged Finance 2023 Outlook Deteriorating; Defaults Rise on Uncertainty

Credit Outlook 2023 - Continued Domestic Growth, Adequate Liquidity Support APAC Emerging-Market Fincos

Credit Outlook 2023 - Deteriorating Outlooks on Half of APAC Corporate Sectors Amid Weaker Macro Backdrop

Credit Outlook 2023 - Chinese LGFVs Carry Local and Regional Governments' Fiscal Pressure

Credit Outlook 2023 - Green Shoots May Take Time in EMEA Leveraged Finance

Credit Outlook 2023 - APAC Transportation Infrastructure Remains Resilient Despite Rising Risks

Credit Outlook 2023 - Macro Backdrop to Challenge Asset Values, Credit Quality for North American FinCos

Credit Outlook 2023 - Outlook ‘Deteriorating’ for U.S. States & Local Governments in 2023; Ratings Stable

Credit Outlook 2023 - APAC Tech Deteriorating Amidst Global Economy Risks in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Global Oil & Gas Sector’s Profits are High Despite Windfall Taxes

Credit Outlook 2023 - Neutral 2023 Global Autos Outlook Pent Up Demand Offsets Macro Risk

Credit Outlook 2023 - Developed and Emerging Europe Finco Outlook Deteriorating as Rates Rise Funding Tightens

Credit Outlook 2023 - Resilient Demand Balancing Macro Risk for Global Transports in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Asia-Pacific Power Demand Growth to Stabilise, Energy Transition to Continue

Credit Outlook 2023 - APAC Sovereigns to Face Risks from Slowing Global Growth in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Labor Pains to Intensify for U.S. NFP Hospitals in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Global Home Prices to See Declines or Lower Growth in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - EMEA Real Estate 2023 Outlook Deteriorates on Higher Interest Rate Environment

Credit Outlook 2023 - A&D Outlook Improving on Stronger Aircraft Demand and Defense Spend

Credit Outlook 2023 - U.S. Bank Asset Quality, Operating Environment to Deteriorate in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Chinese Auto Loan ABS and RMBS to Largely Withstand Economic and Sector Headwinds

Credit Outlook 2023 - Investment Managers Face Tough Investment Climate in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - Government Support Key to Restoring Market Confidence in China Property Sector

Credit Outlook 2023 - APAC Banks Broadly Steady Despite Economic Headwinds in 2023

Credit Outlook 2023 - APAC Telcos’ 2023 Leverage to Remain Stable, Despite High 5G Capex

Credit Outlook 2023 - Growth and Funding Costs Weigh on 2023 Sovereign Outlook

2022 Mid-Year Outlook - Sovereign Sector Outlook Revised to Neutral from Improving on Ukraine War Impact

2022 Mid-Year Outlook - APAC Corporate Sector Outlooks Shift Amid Global Shocks

2022 Mid-Year Outlook - Inflation, Rate Rises, Stagflation Undermine Sector Outlooks

2022 Mid-Year Outlook - Global Corporates are Adequately Equipped to Weather Risks in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Canadian Provinces

2022 Credit Outlook - Economic Recoveries Drive Global Financial Sector Outlooks in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Innovation Drives Growth in Global Big Pharma & Biotech

2022 Credit Outlook - Financial Discipline Supports Global Oil Gas Sector Outlook

2022 Credit Outlook - U.S. Healthcare and Pharma Outlook Neutral for 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Pricing Power Must Offset Cost Pressures in European Lev Fin

2022 Credit Outlook - More Entrenched Recovery Underpins Fiscal Improvement in Western Europe

2022 Credit Outlook - Policy Tightens but Sovereigns Outlook for 2022 is Improving

2022 Credit Outlook - Rising Labor Expenses Cloud U.S. NFP Hospitals

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Airline Outlook Improving but Material Risks Remain

2022 Credit Outlook - LatAm Banks See Credit Expansion, Manageable Credit Losses in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Canadian Banks Will Continue to Benefit from Economic Recovery in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - U.S. Lev Fin Outlook Neutral for 2022; Low Defaults but Risks to Monitor

2022 Credit Outlook - EMEA Structured Finance Asset Performance Outlook Neutral for All Sectors

2022 Credit Outlook - China LGFVs - Government Policies to be a Key Focus

2022 Credit Outlook - APAC Corps Neutral Outlook Overall, China Property Worsening

2022 Credit Outlook - Fitch Expects Operating Environment for LPCs to Remain Unchanged in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - North American and European Securities Firms Outlooks Neutral for 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Return of Confidence Key to Stability for Chinese Property Developers

2022 Credit Outlook - North American Structured Finance Asset Performance to Remain Steady in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Home Price Growth to Slow in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - EMEA Utilities Stable on High Prices, Increasing Capex Plans

2022 Credit Outlook - Asia-Pacific Sovereigns - Gradual Turn to Policy Normalisation

2022 Credit Outlook - North America to Grow Strongly in 2022, Policy Will Tighten

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Auto Conditions to Improve in 2022, Supply Chain Risk Exists

2022 Credit Outlook - China Structured Finance Performance May Deteriorate in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - U.S. Retail – Revenue Deceleration Expected

2022 Credit Outlook - Neutral 2022 Outlook for U.S. Technology

2022 Credit Outlook - APAC Banks' Earnings Improvements Continue at a Varying Pace

2022 Credit Outlook – North America & Europe FinTech

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Banking Regulation to Tighten for 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Pro-Cyclical Postures and Rate Views May Test Financial Policies

2022 Credit Outlook - Normalization Expected for U.S. Banks in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - U.S. State and Local Governments Search for Predictability in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Aerospace End Market Improving, Defense Stable

2022 Credit Outlook - Global Investment Managers Resilient to 2022 Challenges

2022 Credit Outlook - Neutral Sector Outlook Maintained for EMEA Renewable Energy

2022 Credit Outlook - Inflation Could Disrupt Steadier U.S. Transportation in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Asia-Pacific Transportation Infrastructure

2022 Credit Outlook - Moderate Recovery, Challenges Remain for APAC Tech in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - U.S. Diversified Industrials and Capital Goods Outlook Neutral for 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - Neutral US BDC Outlook Driven by Solid Financial Profiles

2022 Credit Outlook - Latin American Corporates Well Positioned for Challenges Ahead

2022 Credit Outlook - Climate Risks and Evolving Financing Structures for U.S. Energy Infrastructure in 2022

2022 Credit Outlook - APAC Power Demand and Energy Transition to Accelerate

2022 Credit Outlook - Low Headroom for APAC Telco’s Ratings, Improvements Modest

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Key Macro Risks & Insights

Risk Headquarters

Global credit risks have risen over the past quarter as the triple threat of rate rises, Europe’s gas crisis and China’s moribund property market show no sign of abating.

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