02Global Economic Outlook Forecast Summary

Fixed Interests Podcast

Japan’s monetary policy: shifting gears or doubling down?

Will the Bank of Japan follow the world in tightening? How far could rates go? What could that mean for public finances? Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of APAC Sovereigns, and Krisjanis Krustins, Primary Analyst on Japan, explore Fitch’s latest thinking.

Listen to Podcast

20/20 Vision

The 20/20 Vision chart pack offers a unique graphic snapshot of economic developments across 20 major economies – developed and emerging – to assess global economic prospects and global macro risks.

Sovereigns & Economics

Frontier Vision

These quarterly reports track high-frequency macroeconomic data for countries in JP Morgan's Next Generation Market Index. Covering five years of historical data, the information has been harmonized as far as possible across all countries to facilitate comparisons.


China Perspectives

China Perspectives is a podcast series covering the latest credit market and economic developments from China, featuring a range of experts from both within and outside of Fitch Ratings.

Outlook 2023

Global Economic Outlook

Global growth is showing near-term resilience but with core inflation remaining stubbornly high, central banks will have to continue tightening policy in the coming months.




Economic Backdrop Remains Supportive for APAC Banks

Economic Backdrop Remains Supportive for APAC Banks

China’s Manufacturing Investment Growth Slows; Infrastructure Stays Strong

Tighter Lending Standards to Further Constrain U.S. Consumer Spending

Food Price Inflation Still High Despite Falling Input Costs

Short-Term US Debt Limit Increase Would Not Prevent Future Standoffs

U.S. Population Growth Rebounds; State Trends Diverge Due to Migration

China Preserves Fiscal Support to Safeguard Economic Recovery

China 2023 Growth Forecast Revised Up to 5%

Credit Outlook 2023 - 2023 Global Economic Outlook

Credit Outlook 2023 - Heightened Political Risks: What to Watch

EMs Closer than DMs to Restoring Pre-Pandemic Fiscal Positions

Rapid Unwind of Supply Chain Disruption Cuts Goods Inflation

Recession Expected 2Q23, Strength of US Consumer Will Mitigate Severity

Sustained Fall in APAC Sovereign Reserves Could Erode External Buffers for Some

US Labor Remains Tight, Trend Likely Peaked as Median Unemployment Falls Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Global Food Price Inflation Likely to Fall Sharply in 2023

Non-European Emerging Markets Vulnerable to an EU Growth Shock

2022 Mid-Year Outlook - Sovereign Sector Outlook Revised to Neutral from Improving on Ukraine War Impact

Housing Market Slowdown Influences Canadian Bank, Sovereign Ratings

Chinese State Sector to Require More Debt to Fund Investment Goals

Australian Fiscal Outlook Steady as New Government Focuses on Climate Change

China Bank Risks to Rise on Covid-Related Disruptions

Indian Renewable Power Generators Face Modest Gains from Spiking Power Demand

Macro Policy and Performance Key Tests for New Philippine President

Monetary Tightening Poses Medium-Term Risks to Japan’s Debt Dynamics

China 2022 Growth Forecast Cut Amid Covid-19 Outbreaks

U.S. to Recover All Pandemic-Driven Job Losses by Q3 2022

Pandemic Entrenched State Population Changes, Migration Key Factor

Bank of Canada Raises Interest Rates and Mulls Quantitative Tightening

Japan’s Income Policies Help, But Insufficient to Spur Wage Growth

Credit Outlook Highlights - 2021 Major Credit Themes

Credit Outlook Conference Key Takeaways - Global Macro and Sovereigns

2021 Credit Outlook Conferences - See it All Come Together in January 2021

LATAM Sovereign, Corporate Commodity Focus Ups Coronavirus-Linked Risk

Coronavirus Set to Dampen China’s Economic Growth

Political Concern and Refinancing Risks – Key Findings from the Fitch Ratings-FinanceAsia 2020 Asia Credit Market Outlook survey

Fitch Ratings – Exclusive Interview with Finance Minister of Malaysia Lim Guan Eng

Credit Outlook 2020 - Q&A: What's in Store for Credit in 2020?

Global Sovereign Outlook 2020: Fitch’s View of the World

Global Sovereign Outlook 2020: Key Risks to Watch in 2020

Global Economic Outlook 2020: Fitch’s View of the World

Credit Outlook 2020: Outlook for Credit Quality in a Global Slowdown

Japan Consumption Tax Rise Helps Medium-Term Fiscal Consolidation

2019 Late Cycle Roundtable: Key Risks for U.S. States in a Potential Downturn

GSC 2019: Is Eurozone economy resilient?

Global Sovereign Update in 2019

Global Sovereign Conference 2019

China Slowdown Would Hit Banks in Asian Developed Markets Most

Rising Household Debt May Weigh on Medium-Term Chinese Growth

2019 China Credit Conference – China’s economy in 2019

Trade War Causing Collateral Damage to Global Economic Outlook

2019 Late Cycle Roundtable – What Peak Cycle Conditions and Economic Deceleration Means for U.S. Leveraged Finance

FT-Fitch Global Banking Conference - What will cause the next Financial Crisis?

FT-Fitch Global Banking Conference - The economic and geopolitical outlook for EMEA

FT-Fitch Global Banking Conference - The probability of a US recession

FT-Fitch Global Banking Conference - The impact of Brexit on the global and regional economy

2019 Late Cycle Roundtable - China’s Policy Response and Way Forward

Milken Institute Global Conference 2019 - The Macroeconomic Outlook: A Balancing Act

Fitch Ratings Exclusive – South Korean Deputy Prime Minister on the Economy

Fitch Ratings Exclusive – South Korean Deputy Prime Minister on Labour and Governance Policy

Late Cycle Risks

Fitch on Indonesia 2019: (1 of 7) Election – A Promise of Reform for Indonesia to Grow Further

Fitch on Indonesia 2019: (2 of 7) Indonesia Economy – In Time of Volatile Global Economy

Fitch on Indonesia 2019: (3 of 7) 2018 Indonesia Resilient Economy – Growth & Stability

Fitch on Indonesia 2019: (7 of 7) Further Reform in 2019 – Optimise Economic Growth Momentum

Fitch on Indonesia 2019: (5 of 7) Tax Reform – Balance Between Collecting Tax Revenue and Improving Investment Climate

Credit Outlook Conference 2019 - The role of SOEs in China economy going forward

Video Roundtable: United States and the Global Economy - September 2018

The United States and the Global Economy - A Video Roundtable

06Sector Analysts

Brian Coulton
Chief Economist
+44 20 3530 1140 |

Olu Sonola
Head of US Regional Economics
+1 212 908 0583 |

Charles Seville
Senior Director
+1 212 908 0277 |

Robert Ojeda Sierra
+44 20 3530 1664 |

Pawel Borowski
Senior Analyst
+44 20 3530 1861 |